FOMC Meeting September 2026 (17 September 2026): Federal Reserve raises federal funds target range by 25bp to 3.75–4.00%
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. September 2026
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Predicted for 17. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
CME FedWatch (Sept 11, 2026): ~65% for 25bp hike; Polymarket sees 82%, Kalshi 57%. Weighted average ~70%. ECB also hiked to 2.50% on Sept 16. Existing October and December FOMC predictions implicitly assume a September hike. Main downside risk: surprise economic deterioration.
Data basis for this prediction
- CME FedWatch Tool (Stand: 11. September 2026): 65 % Wahrscheinlichkeit 25-bp-Hike
- Polymarket – Fed Decision September 2026: 82 % Hike (Stand: 11. September 2026)
- Kalshi – Fed September Rate: 57 % Hike (Stand: 11. September 2026)
- ECB-Pressemitteilung 16. September 2026: Einlagenzins auf 2,50 % angehoben
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Entscheid am 16. September 2026 gefallen (Anhebung um 25 Bps auf 3,75–4,00 %, einstimmig). Bestätigung liegt vor der Deadline 17. September vor. Quelle: CNBC, 16.09.2026.
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