ECB rate decision October 29-30, 2026: Deposit rate held unchanged at 2.25% (confirmed by ECB press release or Reuters by October 30, 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 9. September 2026
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Predicted for 30. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
The ECB held the deposit rate at 2.25% at its September 10, 2026 meeting (following a +25bp hike in June 2026). Polymarket assigns only ~7% probability to any ECB rate cut in 2026. Eurozone inflation is projected at ~3.0% for 2026; GDP growth at just 0.8%. Market consensus is heavily in favour of a hold in October – consistent with the existing Cassandra December-cut prediction.
Data basis for this prediction
- EZB-Beschluss 10. September 2026: Einlagensatz 2,25 % – ecb.europa.eu
- Polymarket: ~7 % Wahrscheinlichkeit EZB-Zinssenkung 2026 (Stand: 9.9.2026)
- Morningstar: EZB Oktober-Konsens Hold – morningstar.com (September 2026)
- LBBW EZB-Zinsprognose – lbbw.de (September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EZB-Einlagensatz war zum 29. Oktober 2026 bereits 2,50% (nach September-Anhebung), nicht 2,25%. Er blieb bei 2,50% unverändert. Quelle: EZB Pressemitteilung, CNBC
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📈 Economy
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📈 Economy
✦ AI
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