ECB Governing Council refrains from a rate hike at its October 29, 2026 meeting, holding the deposit rate unchanged (confirmed by ECB press release or Bloomberg by October 29, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 13. September 2026
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Predicted for 29. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
An existing open prediction signals an ECB rate hike of 25 bps to 2.90% in December 2026. Central banks typically pause one meeting between consecutive rate steps to assess incoming data. The October 29 meeting is a non-projection session — the ECB prefers directional decisions at meetings with updated staff projections (December). OIS swap markets price an October hold probability at ~65-70%; the December path is considered consensus-priced.
Data basis for this prediction
- EZB Sitzungskalender 2026: Ratssitzung 29. Oktober 2026 ohne Stabsprojektionen (ECB.europa.eu)
- LiveExchanges ECB Schedule 2026: Oktober = Nicht-Projektions-Sitzung, Dezember = Projektions-Sitzung
- Bestehendes Cassandra-Signal: EZB hebt Einlagensatz am 9. Dezember 2026 auf 2,90 % an
- Brent-Rohöl ~104 USD/Barrel: Inflationsdruck vorhanden, aber Dezember-Pfad eingepreist (13. September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EZB verzichtete auf Zinserhöhung und hielt Einlagensatz unverändert bei 2,50 %. Quelle: ECB 29.10.2026, euribor-rates.info
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