ECB leaves deposit facility rate unchanged at 2.50% at its October 29, 2026 Governing Council meeting – no further rate hike (confirmed by ECB press release or Reuters/Bloomberg by October 29, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 2. September 2026
·
Predicted for 29. October 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
The open platform prediction expects an ECB hike of 25bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026. After a rate step, the ECB historically tends to pause for data assessment: in its recent 2022–2023 tightening phase there were no two consecutive meetings with hikes without intervening analysis. EUR/USD at 1.1589 on September 2, 2026 – weaker common currency dampens imported inflation pressure. No public ECB-Watch market for October specifically available; historical pause probability after a hike in the modern ECB cycle: ~70–75%. Next regular ECB meeting: October 29, 2026.
Data basis for this prediction
- liveexchanges.com ECB Meeting Schedule 2026: nächste Sitzung nach 10.9.2026 am 29.10.2026
- EUR/USD: 1,1589 am 2.9.2026 (exchangerates.org.uk / Wise historische Daten)
- ECB.europa.eu: Monetary Policy Decisions 2026 – Sitzungsprotokoll Juli 2026
- Offene Cassandra-Vorhersage: EZB hebt auf 2,50% (Einlagenfazilität) am 10.9.2026 an
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Die EZB hat am 29. Oktober 2026 den Einlagenfazilitätszins tatsächlich unverändert bei 2,50 % belassen. Mehrere Quellen bestätigen dies übereinstimmend: euribor-rates.info ('ECB interest rate decision 29/10/2026: unchanged, deposit 2.50 %'), ebc.com ('ECB Holds Rates at 2.50% as Lagarde Announces Departure'), dca-calculator.com ('ECB October 2026: 2.50% hold as energy risks persist') sowie deutsche-wirtschafts-nachrichten.de ('EZB-Zinsentscheid: Notenbanker belassen Leitzins der Eurozone bei 2,5 Prozent'). Die Vorhersage, dass nach dem Zinsschritt auf 2,50 % im September 2026 im Oktober keine weitere Erhöhung folgen würde, ist vollständig eingetreten. Anmerkung: Laut Suchergebnissen hatte die EZB den Satz im Juni und September 2026 jeweils um 25 Bp. angehoben; die Oktoberpause entspricht exakt dem in der Begründung beschriebenen historischen Muster.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.