Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) beats adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $3.68 per share in Q2 2026 results (July 31, 2026, before market open, confirmed by ExxonMobil press release)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 28. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
ExxonMobil reports Q2 2026 before the bell on July 31. Consensus from 19 analysts (Alphastreet) is $3.68 EPS — a ~+124% increase vs Q2 2025 ($1.64), driven by elevated commodity prices and production records. XOM has beaten EPS estimates in four consecutive quarters; the current Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) stands at +4.40%, statistically pointing to another upside. Brent crude is trading at ~$96-97/barrel (as of July 25, 2026), well above yearly lows — a clear tailwind for the upstream segment. No Polymarket/Kalshi market identified; calibrated internally based on historical beat rate (~75% of last 8 quarters) and positive ESP metric.
Data basis for this prediction
- Alphastreet: 'Exxon Mobil (XOM) Q2 2026 Preview: EPS Est. $3.68, Reports July 31' (Stand 28.07.2026)
- Yahoo Finance: 'Why Exxon (XOM) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again' – ESP +4.40% (Stand 28.07.2026)
- Trading Economics: Brent Crude ~$96.80/barrel (25.07.2026)
- Proactive Investors: 'Exxon Mobil updates Q2 earnings considerations' (Stand 28.07.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
ExxonMobil meldete für Q2 2026 (31. Juli 2026) ein bereinigtes EPS von 3,52 USD je Aktie und verfehlte damit den Konsens von 3,68 USD um ca. 4,3 % (Quellen: Zacks, Yahoo Finance, TIKR). Die Vorhersage, dass XOM den Konsens übertrifft, trat nicht ein. Hauptgründe für das Verfehlen: höhere Aufwendungen durch planmäßige Wartungsarbeiten und gestiegene Abschreibungen aus jüngsten Investitionen. Positiv hervorzuheben: Das Unternehmen übertraf die Umsatzschätzungen deutlich (116 Mrd. USD vs. 95,8 Mrd. USD erwartet) und erzielte Rekordproduktion im Permian-Becken – aber die EPS-Hürde wurde nicht genommen. Quellen: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/exxon-mobil-holdings-xom-q2-114502160.html | https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2965398/exxon-mobil-holdings-xom-q2-earnings-miss-estimates | https://www.tikr.com/blog/exxonmobil-xom-stock-drops-q2-earnings-miss-2026
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.