EUR/USD closes below 1.1400 USD per euro on September 30, 2026 (confirmed by Bloomberg or ECB reference rate by September 30, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 6. September 2026
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Predicted for 30. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
EUR/USD stood at 1.1603 on September 6, 2026 — already under pressure after strong US payroll data on September 5 (BLS). Three catalysts support further dollar strength by month-end: (1) FOMC September 16 — markets price 58% probability of a +25bp hike to 3.75–4.00% (FedRateCalc.com); (2) potentially hot US CPI data on September 11; (3) ECB holds the deposit rate unchanged at 2.25% on September 10 (separately predicted), widening the interest rate differential in the dollar's favor. A ~1.7% decline from 1.1603 to below 1.1400 by September 30 is plausible but not certain.
Data basis for this prediction
- EUR/USD: 1,1603 (Trading Economics, 6. Sep 2026)
- FOMC Sep 2026: 58 % Zinserhöhungs-Wahrscheinlichkeit (FedRateCalc.com, Sep 2026)
- US Non-Farm Payrolls August 2026: starke Beschäftigungsdaten (BLS, 5. Sep 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der ECB-Referenzkurs für EUR/USD am 30. September 2026 lag bei 1,1355 (Quelle: xrates.eu / ECB-Referenzkurse), Spotdaten weiterer Anbieter (valutafx.com) bestätigen ca. 1,1330–1,1331. Damit schloss der Kurs eindeutig unter der Schwelle von 1,1400. Der Rückgang von ~1,1603 (6. September) auf ~1,1355 (30. September) entspricht einem Minus von ca. 2,1 % – leicht stärker als die prognostizierten ~1,7 %. Haupttreiber war laut ECB-Kommentar (ebc.com) eine hawkishere US-Geldpolitik (FOMC-Zinserhöhungspfad) in Kombination mit dem weitgehend unveränderten EZB-Einlagensatz, genau wie in der Vorhersage beschrieben.
📈 Economy
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📈 Economy
✦ AI
Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
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