📈 Economy · Next Week

EUR/USD trades above 1.1300 on July 18, 2026

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 11. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

74%

EUR/USD stood at 1.1416 on July 11, 2026 — the 1.1300 threshold is 1.0% below. The ECB raised the deposit rate to 2.25% in June 2026 and is expected to hold on July 23 (90% market probability per ecb-watch.eu), supporting the euro. Fed rate: 3.50–3.75%; CME FedWatch: 78.1% probability of a hold on July 29. The interest rate differential and limited USD appreciation potential support EUR/USD remaining above 1.13.

Data basis for this prediction

EUR/USD am 11.07.2026: 1,1416 (exchangerates.org.uk / ECB-Referenzkurs)
EZB-Einlagensatz: 2,25 % (erhöht 11.06.2026; ECB Pressemitteilung ecb.mp260611)
EZB Juli-23-Meeting: 90 % Wahrscheinlichkeit keine Änderung (ecb-watch.eu / financecalendar.com)
CME FedWatch: 78,1 % Fed-Pause am 29.07.2026 (Stand 08.07.2026, cmegroup.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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