EUR/USD spot rate closes above 1.1400 on NFP Friday (October 2, 2026), confirmed by Bloomberg or Refinitiv by October 2, 23:59 ET
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. September 2026
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Predicted for 2. October 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
EUR/USD trades at 1.1382 on September 27, 2026, already well above the platform's existing 1.1300 target for September 30 (likely to be missed). The platform's open prediction 'September NFP below 140k' is in place for the same day — weak US jobs data typically depresses the USD Index and pushes EUR/USD higher. The ECB holds its deposit rate at 2.50% (open prediction Oct 29); Fed market pricing still cautious near-term despite Oct 28 hike speculation. A +0.18 cent move (~+0.16%) to above 1.14 is plausible under a soft payrolls print. No Polymarket market found for this level. Pure event forecast — no buy/sell recommendation. Own estimate: 55%.
Data basis for this prediction
- EUR/USD Kassakurs: 1,1382 (Trading Economics / Fed H.10 Release, 27.09.2026, 00:13 GMT+2)
- FXLeaders: 'XAU/USD Stabilizes Near $4,300 as PCE Inflation and Jobs Data Loom' — USD-Schwächeszenario bei NFP-Miss (27.09.2026)
- Offene Plattform-Vorhersage: Nonfarm Payrolls September 2026 unter 140.000 (BLS, 02.10.2026)
- Offene Plattform-Vorhersage: EUR/USD unter 1,1300 am 30.09.2026 — aktueller Kurs 1,1382 zeigt USD-Schwäche
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EUR/USD schloss am 2. Oktober 2026 bei ca. 1,1243 – weit unter 1,1400. Quelle: Trading Economics, FXStreet.
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