EUR/USD spot rate closes above 1.1400 on September 19, 2026 (Friday after the September 16 FOMC decision), confirmed by Bloomberg or Federal Reserve H.10 by September 19, 2026
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 12. September 2026
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Predicted for 19. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
EUR/USD currently at 1.1599 (September 11, 2026, Investing.com), technical indicator: sell signal. Polymarket shows 60% probability of no change in Fed rates at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting. Even with a surprise 25bps hike (open platform prediction), EUR/USD would need to fall more than 200 pips within just three trading days – an extreme move given typical 3-day volatility of 50–80 pips. Historically, Fed rate hikes rarely generate more than 100–150 pips of USD strength in a week. Staying above 1.1400 is highly probable even in the stress scenario. No buy or sell recommendation – pure event forecast.
Data basis for this prediction
- EUR/USD Kassakurs: 1,1599, technisches Signal: Verkauf (Investing.com, 11. September 2026)
- Polymarket: 'No change in Fed rates after September 2026 FOMC' – 60 % (Stand: 11. September 2026, $6,6 Mio. Volumen)
- EUR/USD 52-Wochen-Range: 1,1325–1,2079 (Investing.com, September 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EUR/USD am Fr. 18.09. (NY-Close): ~1,1461–1,1496. Freitagskurs gilt als Wochenend-Referenz. 1,1461 > 1,1400.
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