European Central Bank (ECB) raises deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on 29 October 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 18. September 2026
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Predicted for 29. October 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
ECB raised the deposit rate to 2.50% on 10 September 2026. An existing open prediction on this platform expects a further hike to 3.00% on 17 December 2026 (+25bp). Arithmetically, a step to 2.75% at the October meeting (28–29 Oct) is the consistent intermediate path. Eurozone CPI August 2026 was 3.2% (energy-driven by Iran conflict), keeping the ECB on a tightening path. Bloomberg consensus (orbitremit, Sep 2026): gradual 25bp-per-meeting pace.
Data basis for this prediction
- EZB Einlagenzins: 2,50 % (angehoben 10.09.2026, ECB.europa.eu / orbitremit-Blog)
- Eurozone VPI August 2026: 3,2 % YoY (Eurostat, Sep 2026)
- EZB-Ratstreffen Oktober 2026: 28.–29. Oktober (ECB-Kalender, smartcalendars.ai)
- Offene Plattform-Prognose: EZB auf 3,00 % am 17.12.2026 — impliziert Zwischenschritt im Oktober
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EZB erhöhte Zinssatz nicht auf 2,75 %; Einlagensatz blieb bei 2,50 %. Quelle: ECB, euribor-rates.info
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