EUR/JPY closes below 178.00 JPY per euro on September 18, 2026 (day after BoJ rate decision), confirmed by Bloomberg or Reuters closing price by September 18, 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 5. September 2026
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Predicted for 18. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
EUR/JPY is quoted at 181.28 on September 5, 2026. An existing prediction expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to raise its key rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% on September 17-18. BoJ rate hikes significantly strengthen the yen: at the last major BoJ move (July 2024: +15bp to 0.25%), USD/JPY fell by approximately 4-5% within a few trading days. An EUR/JPY decline from 181.28 to <178.00 represents −1.8% and would occur even with a muted market reaction (≈50% of the July 2024 reaction). The current FOMC situation (Polymarket: 59.5% Fed pause) limits countervailing USD/JPY strength. No direct EUR/JPY forward contract available for September 18; own estimate.
Data basis for this prediction
- EUR/JPY Spot: 181,28 (MTFX/Investing.com, 5.9.2026)
- BoJ +25 bp auf 1,25 % am 17./18.9.2026 (bestehende Cassandra-Vorhersage)
- USD/JPY Reaktion nach BoJ-Hike Juli 2024: −9,8 % in 2 Wochen (Bloomberg Historical, 31.7.2024)
- Polymarket: FOMC Fed-Pause September 2026: 59,5 % (via KuCoin, 4.9.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] EUR/JPY reagierte nach der BoJ-Zinserhöhung auf 1,25 % paradox mit Yen-Schwäche. EUR/JPY handelte am 18. September 2026 bei ca. 178,44–178,77 (Tagesrange) und laut FXStreet-Bericht sogar um 180,20 während der asiatischen Session. Schluss weit über 178,00. Quelle: FXStreet (18.09.2026), Investing.com.
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