EU Parliament votes on tightened AI liability directive
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 10. July 2026
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Predicted for 5. August 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
After months of tug-of-war between industry lobbyists and consumer advocates, the revised AI Liability Directive comes to a vote. Political pressure following several high-profile AI failures in EU member states has accelerated the timeline.
Verdict: Miss
Die Vorhersage ist nicht eingetreten. Die EU-Kommission hatte den Vorschlag für eine eigenständige KI-Haftungsrichtlinie bereits im Februar 2025 aus ihrem Arbeitsprogramm zurückgezogen – mit der Begründung 'no foreseeable agreement'. Damit entfiel die gesetzgeberische Grundlage für eine Parlamentsabstimmung. Zwar war ursprünglich ein JURI-Ausschusssvotum für Januar 2026 und ein Plenum-Vote für Februar 2026 geplant, doch beides wurde durch den Rückzug der Kommission hinfällig. Als Ersatzrahmen gilt seitdem die überarbeitete Produkthaftungsrichtlinie (in Kraft seit Dezember 2024, Umsetzungsfrist für Mitgliedstaaten: Dezember 2026), nicht jedoch eine separate KI-Haftungsrichtlinie. Quellen: EU-Kommission-Rückzug (datenschutzticker.de, europarl.europa.eu Legislative Train).
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Google Cloud has been growing at ~28–30% YoY and profitable since Q4 2023. Q4 2024 revenue was $11.96B. On the same growth trajectory, Q3 2026 is estimated at ~$16.5–17.5B. Drivers: AI infrastructure demand (TPUs, Gemini Cloud), enterprise deal closures. No direct Polymarket market found; Wall Street consensus likely ~$16.5–17.5B. Risk: cloud budget compression from rate hikes. Benchmark: open platform prediction for AWS Q3 2026 is >$35B; Google Cloud historically ~45–48% of AWS.