Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) beats Q2 2026 earnings (August 5, 2026) adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $8.89 per share
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 22. July 2026
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Predicted for 5. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Eli Lilly reports on August 5, 2026. The EPS consensus per Hudson Labs is ~$8.89 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS. Eli Lilly has beaten estimates for eight consecutive quarters, driven by explosive growth of Mounjaro (tirzepatide, diabetes/GLP-1) and Zepbound (obesity). The GLP-1 segment grows double-digits and routinely outpaces analyst estimates. No Polymarket market available; assessment based on ~85–90% historical beat rate over the last 8 quarters. Risk: potential supply constraints or price pressure from IRA negotiations.
Data basis for this prediction
- Hudson Labs – Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: bereinigter EPS-Konsens 8,89 USD je Aktie
- Seeking Alpha – Eli Lilly EPS-Beat-Rate: 8/8 letzte Quartale (Stand Juli 2026)
- Lilly Investor Relations – Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 5. August 2026
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Eli Lilly meldete am 5. August 2026 für Q2 2026 ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 8,38 USD – das liegt unter dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~8,89 USD (Hudson Labs). Die Vorhersage, dass Lilly diesen Konsens übertrifft, ist damit nicht eingetreten. Der tatsächliche EPS-Konsens der breiten Analystengemeinde lag jedoch deutlich niedriger (ca. 6,55–6,58 USD laut Alphastreet/StockStory), den Lilly mit 8,38 USD massiv übertroffen hat (+27 %). Der 8,89-USD-Konsens aus der Vorhersage scheint also deutlich zu hoch angesetzt gewesen zu sein – möglicherweise ein Datenproblem bei Hudson Labs. Quellen: Eli Lilly Investor Relations (investor.lilly.com), Quiver Quantitative, StockStory/Yahoo Finance.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.