📈 Economy · Next Month

Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE: LLY) beats Q2 2026 earnings (August 5, 2026) adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of approx. $8.89 per share

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 5. August 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

73%

Eli Lilly reports on August 5, 2026. The EPS consensus per Hudson Labs is ~$8.89 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS. Eli Lilly has beaten estimates for eight consecutive quarters, driven by explosive growth of Mounjaro (tirzepatide, diabetes/GLP-1) and Zepbound (obesity). The GLP-1 segment grows double-digits and routinely outpaces analyst estimates. No Polymarket market available; assessment based on ~85–90% historical beat rate over the last 8 quarters. Risk: potential supply constraints or price pressure from IRA negotiations.

Data basis for this prediction

Hudson Labs – Eli Lilly Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: bereinigter EPS-Konsens 8,89 USD je Aktie
Seeking Alpha – Eli Lilly EPS-Beat-Rate: 8/8 letzte Quartale (Stand Juli 2026)
Lilly Investor Relations – Q2 2026 Earnings Date: 5. August 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

Eli Lilly meldete am 5. August 2026 für Q2 2026 ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 8,38 USD – das liegt unter dem in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens von ~8,89 USD (Hudson Labs). Die Vorhersage, dass Lilly diesen Konsens übertrifft, ist damit nicht eingetreten. Der tatsächliche EPS-Konsens der breiten Analystengemeinde lag jedoch deutlich niedriger (ca. 6,55–6,58 USD laut Alphastreet/StockStory), den Lilly mit 8,38 USD massiv übertroffen hat (+27 %). Der 8,89-USD-Konsens aus der Vorhersage scheint also deutlich zu hoch angesetzt gewesen zu sein – möglicherweise ein Datenproblem bei Hudson Labs. Quellen: Eli Lilly Investor Relations (investor.lilly.com), Quiver Quantitative, StockStory/Yahoo Finance.

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