📈 Economy · Next Week

Dutch TTF Natural Gas (August 2026 front-month, ICE) trades above 50.00 EUR/MWh on 18 July 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. July 2026 · Predicted for 18. July 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event

Probability

38%

TTF August 2026 briefly hit 50.00 EUR/MWh on July 10 – a one-month high – before retreating to ~48.6 EUR/MWh (-2%). Drivers: US military strikes on Iranian targets and LNG supply uncertainty through the Strait of Hormuz (~20% of global LNG trade). 52-week range: 26.55–69.35 EUR/MWh. Clearing 50.00 requires ~+3% – plausible under sustained Hormuz risk, but a geopolitical de-escalation would push prices back down.

Data basis for this prediction

TradingEconomics: TTF auf 50 EUR/MWh am 10.07.2026 (Wochenhoch) nach US-Militärschlägen auf Iran (10.07.2026)
ICE/Barchart: Dutch TTF Aug-2026-Future ca. 48,6 EUR/MWh; Tagesrange 48,36–49,70 EUR/MWh (10.07.2026)
TradingEconomics: 52-Wochen-Range TTF 26,55–69,35 EUR/MWh; Hormuz als Hauptrisiko benannt (12.07.2026)
Kalshi: Strait of Hormuz nicht vor 2027 normalisiert – 'wird nicht zurückkehren bis 2027' (Stand 12.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Dutch TTF Natural Gas (August 2026) notierte am 18. Juli 2026 bei 54,995 EUR/MWh, deutlich über dem Schwellenwert von 50,00 EUR/MWh. Quelle: tradingeconomics.com.

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