Die Linke receives more than 10.5% of votes cast in the Sachsen-Anhalt state election (September 6, 2026, confirmed by state electoral authority or tagesschau.de)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 31. August 2026
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Predicted for 6. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Sachsen-Anhalt is a traditional eastern-German stronghold for Die Linke. Infratest dimap (May 2026) shows 12%, a more recent poll shows 13% — both comfortably above the 10.5% target. For comparison, the 2021 state election result was 11.0%. BSW's decline strengthens the potential for leftist voters to return. No open prediction market trades this threshold; probability estimated at approximately 68%.
Data basis for this prediction
- Infratest-dimap Sachsen-Anhalt-LänderTREND Mai 2026: Die Linke 12 % (infratest-dimap.de)
- Aktuelle Wahlumfrage Sachsen-Anhalt (August 2026): Die Linke 13 % (t-online.de / wahlrecht.de / dawum.de)
- Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl 2021: Die Linke 11,0 % (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt)
- Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt, Datum: 6. September 2026 (Wikipedia, Landeswahlleiter)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Die Linke erzielte 7,9–8,9 %, nicht mehr als 10,5 %. Quelle: ZDF-Hochrechnung, wahlrecht.de
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