📈 Economy
· Next Month
DAX closes above 25,500 points on July 31, 2026
Probability
57%
The DAX closed at 25,067.09 on July 10, 2026. To reach 25,500 would require a +1.7% gain over three weeks. Positive factors: global risk-on mode (S&P 500 near ATH, Nasdaq 100 at 29,727), ECB meeting July 23 (existing open prediction: unchanged at 2.25%) provides no negative impulse, EUR/USD at 1.1415 (slightly weaker trend = tailwind for DAX exporters). This prediction fills the intermediate time horizon between the existing DAX prediction for July 18 (>25,400) and the year-end target (>27,000). Risks: auto sector exposure, weak demand from China.
Data basis for this prediction
- DAX Schlussstand 10.07.2026: 25.067,09 Punkte (Yahoo Finance/^GDAXI)
- S&P 500 Schlussstand 10.07.2026: 7.575,39 – nahe Rekordhoch (CNBC/AP)
- EUR/USD 10.07.2026: 1,1415 (exchangerates.org.uk, Tendenz leicht schwächer)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Der DAX schloss am 31. Juli 2026 bei 25.629,24 Punkten und lag damit um rund 129 Punkte (+0,5%) über der Vorhersagemarke von 25.500 Punkten. Der Wochengewinn betrug +2,1%, der Monatsgewinn +2,5%. Quelle: Ariva.de ('Aktien Frankfurt Schluss: Dax leicht im Plus – Deutlicher Wochengewinn', 31.07.2026). Die Vorhersage traf ein; die genannten positiven Faktoren (Risk-On-Umfeld, kein negativer EZB-Impuls) trugen zum Anstieg bei.