DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,400 points on September 5, 2026 (confirmed by Deutsche Börse closing price or Bloomberg)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. September 2026
·
Predicted for 5. September 2026
·
Based on: Statistical Pattern
The DAX 40 set a fresh all-time high at 26,570 points on August 28, 2026 (+0.8%), within an annual range of 21,864–26,618 points. The 26,400 point threshold lies approximately 170 points (–0.6%) below the most recent all-time high and represents a robust technical support level. Macro tailwinds: Eurozone Composite PMI expanding (August Flash), Germany manufacturing PMI surprisingly positive (August Flash: 54.1 points). Risks: US Non-Farm Payrolls report on September 4, 2026 could trigger volatility. No DAX-specific prediction market available; probability based on technical analysis and momentum.
Data basis for this prediction
- Trading Economics: DAX 26.570 Punkte Allzeithoch (28. August 2026)
- NAGA.com: DAX 40 Jahresspanne 21.864–26.618 Punkte (2026)
- S&P Global/IndexBox: Deutschland Industrie-PMI Flash August 2026: 54,1 Punkte
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] DAX notierte am 4.9.2026 bei ca. 26.035 Punkten – unter der Schwelle von 26.400. Der 5.9. ist ein Samstag (XETRA geschlossen), Freitagskurs als Referenz. Quelle: Fxpro.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.