DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 22 September 2026 (first trading day after German state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern), confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 22 September 2026
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 14. September 2026
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Predicted for 22. September 2026
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Based on: Ongoing Event
The DAX closed at 25,398 on 14 September 2026 (−0.66%, XETRA). By 22 September, the following risk events will have been resolved: FOMC rate decision (+25 bp, 16 Sept, ~90% priced in), Bank of Japan decision (18 Sept), BoE meeting (17 Sept), and German state elections in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (20 Sept). Once these uncertainties clear, a relief rally becomes plausible — especially if the FOMC move passes without hawkish surprise. The existing prediction (DAX >25,700 on 19 Sept) already implies upward momentum; an additional ~1.2% gain by the following Monday appears achievable. Total required move from today: +2.4%. Downside risks: hawkish Fed language, BOJ surprise, strongly above-expectation AfD results in both state elections.
Data basis for this prediction
- DAX 40 XETRA-Schlusskurs: 25.398,75 Punkte (−0,66 %) am 14.09.2026 (Yahoo Finance / Investing.com, 14.09.2026)
- FOMC-Zinserhöhungswahrscheinlichkeit: ~90 % für +25 bp auf 3,75–4,00 % (Kalshi/Polymarket, 14.09.2026)
- S&P 500 am 14.09.2026: ca. 7.620–7.634 Punkte (−0,7 %) (Yahoo Finance, 14.09.2026)
- Nasdaq 100 am 14.09.2026: 29.544 Punkte (−1,7 % nach AI-Safety-Warnungen von Anthropic-CEO) (StoneX / Yahoo Finance, 14.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] DAX 40 schloss am 22. September 2026 bei ca. 25.304–25.575 Punkten (Investing.com), deutlich unter der 26.000-Punkte-Schwelle.
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