📈 Economy · Next Week

DAX 40 (XETR: ^GDAXI) closes above 25,200 points on July 31, 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 27. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

57%

DAX closed at 25,099 on July 24, 2026, driven by a SAP earnings beat (+1.36%). Several positive factors support the remaining week through July 31: (1) sharp Brent crude correction on July 27 (−7% to ~$90.90) after US pause on Iran strikes — reduces industrial costs and supports consumer/transport stocks; (2) strong US Big Tech quarterly results (Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft on July 29); (3) expected Fed rate pause on July 29 supports global risk sentiment. Required gain from DAX 25,099: ~+0.4%. No specific prediction market; estimate ~57%.

Data basis for this prediction

BBN Times: 'DAX 40 closes at 25,099 after SAP Earnings Beat' (24. Juli 2026)
IG.com: Brent-Rohöl fällt auf ca. 90,90 USD (−7 % am 27. Juli 2026) nach US-Iran-Deeskalation
S&P 500 Schlussstand 27. Juli 2026: 7.411,98 (Yahoo Finance)
FTSE 100 Schlussstand 27. Juli 2026: ca. 10.766 – 10.802 (proactiveinvestors.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Der DAX 40 schloss am 31. Juli 2026 bei ca. 25.629 Punkten (laut BBN Times/Facebook: +0,07 % auf 25.629,24; wallstreet-online.de nennt 25.704 Punkte zum Monatsende). Damit lag der Schlusskurs deutlich über der Hürde von 25.200 Punkten (+ca. 2,1 % gegenüber dem Stand vom 24. Juli). Quellen: https://www.facebook.com/bbntimes/posts/germanys-dax-40-index-closed-fridays-session-31-july-2026-up-a-modest-007-at-256/1460328589464512/ und https://www.wallstreet-online.de/nachricht/21177881-dax-zielmarke-26-000-punkten-griffweite

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

S&P 500 (^GSPC) closes above 7,450 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by NYSE closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.

73%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

US Federal Reserve raises the Federal Funds target range by 25 basis points on 16 September 2026 (FOMC decision)

Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.

53%

Next Week · Predicted for 16. Sep 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

DAX 40 (XETRA) closes above 26,000 points on 30 September 2026 (confirmed by XETRA closing price or Bloomberg by 30 September 2026)

The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.

48%

Next Month · Predicted for 30. Sep 2026