David Crowley (Democrats) wins the Wisconsin Governor election — US midterm elections November 3, 2026 (confirmed by AP or NBC News by November 4, 2026)
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. October 2026
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Predicted for 3. November 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Kalshi gives Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley 79%, Republican Tom Tiffany 22% (as of October 26, 2026). RealClearPolling average (4 polls): Crowley +3.5 percentage points. Marquette Law School Poll September 2026: Crowley 49%, Tiffany 46% among likely voters — the tightest individual survey. National backing: Kalshi gives Democrats 91% for the House and 64% for the Senate; Wisconsin governor's race follows the party momentum. Tiffany raised more money ($26.3M vs. $10.2M) but failed to build a polling lead. All sources — markets and polls — are consistently pro-Crowley.
Data basis for this prediction
- Kalshi: Crowley 79%, Tiffany 22% (Stand 26.10.2026)
- RealClearPolling Wisconsin Governor 2026: Crowley +3,5 (4 Umfragen, Stand 26.10.2026)
- Marquette Law School Poll September 2026: Crowley 49%, Tiffany 46% (LV)
- Kalshi Midterms: Demokraten House 91%, Senate 64% (Stand 27.10.2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
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