⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

CR Flamengo advances to the Copa Libertadores 2026 final — semifinal second leg vs Estudiantes de La Plata (Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, October 22, 2026, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com or ESPN by October 23, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. October 2026 · Predicted for 22. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

71%

After the goalless first leg (0:0 in La Plata, Oct 15, 2026), Flamengo hosts Estudiantes tonight at the Maracanã. Bookmaker odds imply ~74% for Flamengo (moneyline 1.35; Estudiantes 9.50). Any Flamengo goal sends them through — another 0:0 forces extra time and potentially penalties. Flamengo's recent home form (3 goals vs Bahia, 2 vs Bragantino), squad depth, and Copa experience clearly favor the Cariocas. No direct Polymarket anchor; bookmaker odds imply ~74%.

Data basis for this prediction

Buchmacherquoten: Flamengo 1,35 / Estudiantes 9,50 (sportytrader.com, 22.10.2026)
Hinspiel Estudiantes 0:0 Flamengo – ESPN.com (15.10.2026)
Palmeiras im Finale, Flamengo spielt heute Abend – riotimesonline.com (22.10.2026)
Flamengo Heimform 2026: 3 Tore vs. Bahia, 2 vs. Bragantino (sportytrader.com, 22.10.2026)

Verdict: Miss

Flamengo zog NICHT ins Finale ein. Das Rückspiel am 22. Oktober 2026 im Maracanã endete wie das Hinspiel 0:0, womit das Gesamtergebnis nach 180 Minuten torlos blieb. Im anschließenden Elfmeterschießen gewann Estudiantes de La Plata mit 3:2 – Torwart Fernando Muslera parierte Elfmeter von Jorginho, Lucas Paquetá und Bruno Henrique. Estudiantes (trotz Unterzahl ab der 50. Minute nach Roter Karte für Baltasar Rodríguez) zog damit ins Finale ein und trifft dort am 28. November 2026 im Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) auf Palmeiras. Quellen: El Espectador, El Universo, Libero.pe, beIN Sports.

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