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Copa Libertadores 2026 quarter-final: Palmeiras FC qualifies for the semi-final on aggregate (first and second legs September 9/16, 2026, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com or ESPN by September 17, 2026)
Probability
62%
Palmeiras (BRA), as one of the continent's strongest clubs (Libertadores winners 2020 and 2021), hosts LDU Quito in the first leg on September 9 in São Paulo (Nubank Parque). The second leg takes place on September 16 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in Quito (altitude ~2,800m above sea level) — a classic disadvantage for Brazilian clubs. LDU are renowned for their altitude home strength. On balance, Palmeiras is the aggregate favourite due to squad depth and international experience. Copa specialist markets imply Palmeiras' semi-final participation at approximately 62%. Complementary forecast to the existing open Cassandra prediction on the first-leg result (Palmeiras win in São Paulo).
Data basis for this prediction
- CONMEBOL.com: Copa Libertadores 2026 QF-Spielplan — Palmeiras vs. LDU Quito, Hinspiel 9. Sept., Rückspiel 16. Sept.
- FOX Sports: Palmeiras vs LDU Quito Rückspiel, 16. September 2026 (Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito)
- Aggregierte Copa-Spezialmärkte: Palmeiras Halbfinale ~62 % (Stand 7. September 2026)
- CONMEBOL-Archiv: Palmeiras Libertadores-Siege 2020 und 2021
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.