⚽ Sports · Next Week

Copa Libertadores 2026 QF: Flamengo (BRA) advances to semi-final on aggregate (return leg vs. CA Independiente del Valle ECU, approx. 15/16 September 2026, Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 12. September 2026 · Predicted for 16. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

62%

Flamengo played the first leg away at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa in Quito. The return leg is scheduled at the Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, on approximately September 15/16, 2026. Flamengo are two-time Copa champions (2019, 2022) and one of South America's strongest clubs; the Maracanã home leg provides a decisive atmosphere advantage. Independiente del Valle has Copa pedigree (2022 finalists) but weaker squad depth. No Polymarket market available; probability based on Copa track record and home advantage.

Data basis for this prediction

Copa Libertadores 2026 QF-Paarung Flamengo vs. IDV bestätigt: Hinspiel Quito (Yahoo Sports / beIN Sports, 09.09.2026)
Flamengo Copa-Libertadores-Titel: 2019 (vs. River Plate), 2022 (vs. Athletico Paranaense)
Copa Libertadores 2026 QF-Übersicht: Fluminense 2-0 Platense (Maracanã, Hinspiel) als Vergleichskontext (SofaScore, 09.09.2026)

Verdict: Hit

Flamengo zog tatsächlich ins Halbfinale ein. Im Hinspiel am 11. September 2026 gewann Flamengo auswärts in Quito 2:0. Das Rückspiel fand am 17. September 2026 (statt der vorhergesagten 15./16.) im Maracanã statt und endete 1:1 — Flamengo setzte sich damit mit 3:1 im Gesamtergebnis durch. Quellen: beIN Sports (https://www.beinsports.com/en-us/soccer/conmebol-libertadores/articles-video/-video-flamengo-defeats-independiente-del-valle-in-quito-and-complicates-their-copa-libertadores-quarterfinal-hopes-2026-09-11), VAVEL Brasil (https://www.vavel.com/br/futebol-internacional/2026/09/18/1271753-flamengo-x-independiente-del-valle-ao-vivo-copa-libertadores.html), Gazeta Esportiva (https://www.gazetaesportiva.com/times/flamengo/flamengo-x-independiente-del-valle-libertadores-2026/).

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