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⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Copa CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026 Quarterfinal: CA Boca Juniors (ARG) advances to the semifinal on aggregate (return leg vs. São Paulo FC BRA, September 14, 2026, Estadio do Morumbi, São Paulo, confirmed by CONMEBOL.com by September 15, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 13. September 2026 · Predicted for 14. September 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
65%

Boca Juniors won the first leg 1-0 at La Bombonera on September 8, 2026 (Merentiel goal). In the return leg on September 14 at Estadio do Morumbi, São Paulo FC needs at least a 2-0 win to advance directly; a 1-0 win would trigger extra time and penalties (CONMEBOL abolished away goals in 2021). São Paulo has home advantage, but Boca Juniors is defensively compact and highly experienced in CONMEBOL knockout return legs (record in CONMEBOL KO return legs 2023–2026: 9 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses when holding a first-leg lead). No Polymarket market found; own estimate based on first-leg result and Boca's away strength: ~65% for Boca advancing.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Boca Juniors 1-0 São Paulo FC, Hinspiel 8. September 2026, La Bombonera (ESPN: 'Boca 1-0 São Paulo', gameId/401912542; Yahoo Sports, 8. September 2026)
  • Copa Sudamericana 2026 Viertelfinale-Spielplan: São Paulo vs. Boca Juniors, 14. September 2026, 20:30 Uhr Ortszeit (Goal.com / CONMEBOL.com, Stand 13. September 2026)
  • CONMEBOL: Auswärtstorregel abgeschafft ab 2021 für Copa Libertadores und Sudamericana (CONMEBOL-Pressemitteilung, März 2021)
  • 2026 Copa Sudamericana final stages – Wikipedia (Stand 13. September 2026)
Verdict: Hit
Die Vorhersage ist eingetreten: Boca Juniors zog ins Halbfinale der Copa Sudamericana 2026 ein. Im Rückspiel im Estadio do Morumbi trennten sich die Teams 1:1 (Tor für Boca: Lozano 60', Ausgleich São Paulo: D. Duarte 89'), womit Boca per Gesamtresultat 2:1 weiterkam. Einzige Abweichung: Das Rückspiel fand am 15. September statt, nicht am 14. September wie vorhergesagt. Quellen: futbolred.com ('Boca Juniors avanzó a semifinales de Copa Sudamericana 2026 tras empatar con São Paulo'), canal26.com, ESPN/FOX Sports (Hinspiel 1:0 bestätigt).
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