🍾 Beverages · Next Month

Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) beats Non-GAAP EPS analyst consensus of approx. $3.75 per share in Q2 FY2027 earnings (approx. October 8, 2026, confirmed by STZ press release or Bloomberg)

Partial Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 28. August 2026 · Predicted for 8. October 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

67%

Constellation Brands benefits structurally from its Mexican beer brands (Modelo Especial, Pacifico, Corona) in the US premium segment (~80% of total revenue). Q1 FY2027 was an EPS beat. Q2 FY2027 (June–August 2026) fell in the seasonally strong grilling season; persistently high Modelo demand is documented. FactSet consensus: EPS ~$3.75, revenue ~$2.58B. No direct Polymarket market available; historical STZ beat rate (~6/8 most recent quarters) implies ~67% probability.

Data basis for this prediction

ChartMill.com: Constellation Brands STZ Q1 FY2027 EPS Beat (Juli 2026)
Nasdaq.com STZ Earnings Report Dates – Q2 FY2027 ca. 8. Oktober 2026, EPS-Konsens $3,75
Investing.com STZ Q2 2026 Earnings Beat Transcript (historische Beat-Rate als Basis)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Partial Hit

Constellation Brands meldete Q2-FY2027-Ergebnisse am 6./7. Oktober 2026 (statt ca. 8. Oktober). Der vergleichbare (Non-GAAP) EPS betrug $3,74 – damit wurde der tatsächliche Analystenkonsens von ~$3,62 (laut MarketBeat/AlphaStreet) klar geschlagen (+$0,12). Allerdings lag der EPS mit $3,74 einen Cent UNTER dem in der Vorhersage genannten FactSet-Konsens von ~$3,75, d. h. die Vorhersage lautete 'übertrifft $3,75', was technisch nicht erfüllt wurde. Der Beat selbst ist bestätigt (4. Beat in Folge, vgl. 247wallst.com und alphastreet.com), doch die Konsenszahl in der Vorhersage war leicht überhöht: $3,75 war eher die tatsächliche EPS-Zahl als die Konsenslatte. Umsatz ($2,63 Mrd.) übertraf den Konsens von ~$2,54 Mrd. deutlich. Quellen: https://news.alphastreet.com/constellation-brands-tops-q2-2027-profit-forecast-with-3-74-eps/ | https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-10-6-constellation-brands-inc-stock/ | https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/constellation-brands-q2-2027-earnings-182710216.html

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Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.

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