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⚽ Sports · Tomorrow

Cleveland Guardians beat Chicago White Sox — MLB ALDS 2026 Game 2 (Progressive Field, Cleveland OH, 5 October 2026, confirmed by MLB.com or AP by 6 October 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 4. October 2026 · Predicted for 5. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern
Probability
61%

Bookmaker odds imply ~60% for the Guardians in Game 2 (moneyline -149). Cleveland won the AL Central (season 85–77), is 5-for-5 in recent home games, and dominated Chicago in the regular season. The White Sox surprised with a Wild Card sweep of Houston, but enter as clear underdogs (Guardians -145 to advance, ~59% implied series probability). No Polymarket market found; calibration based solely on aggregated sports-betting lines. Chicago's rested bullpen (Smith, Burke) adds a small uncertainty premium.

Data basis for this prediction
  • Moneyline ALDS Game 2 (aggregiert, Stand 4. Oktober 2026): Guardians -149 (~60 %), White Sox +124 — Covers.com / FOX Sports
  • Serienquoten ALDS 2026: Guardians -145 (~59 %), White Sox +120 — CBS Sports / Sportsbettingdime
  • Cleveland Guardians Heimserie 2026: 5 Siege in letzten 5 Heimspielen — FOX Sports / NBC Sports
  • ALDS Schedule 2026: Game 2 Guardians vs. White Sox, 5. Oktober 2026, Progressive Field (Yahoo Sports)
Verdict: Miss
Die Vorhersage war falsch. Die Chicago White Sox besiegten die Cleveland Guardians in Game 2 der ALDS 2026 mit 4:3 (5. Oktober 2026, Progressive Field). Braden Montgomery traf in der 6. Inning ein entscheidendes Zwei-Punkte-Double, Sean Burke warf 5⅓ starke Relief-Innings. Ironischerweise war es genau die im Forecast genannte Bullpen-Stärke (Burke auf Vollrast), die Chicago den Sieg sicherte. Chicago gewann damit die ersten zwei Spiele (Game 1: 3-0, Game 2: 4-3), bevor Cleveland die Serie noch 3-2 drehte. Quelle: ESPN, Baseball-Reference (baseball-reference.com/postseason/2026_ALDS2.shtml), MLB.com.
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