📈 Economy · Next Week

Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) beats Q2 2026 adjusted Non-GAAP EPS consensus of ~$5.79 per share (July 31, 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 26. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

65%

Chevron reports Q2 2026 on July 31, 2026 (before market open). Analyst consensus: ~$5.79 adjusted EPS (vs. $1.77 prior-year quarter, +227% YoY). Brent crude was significantly elevated in Q2 2026 due to Middle East tensions, crossing the $100/bbl mark by late July (~$100.69 on July 25, 2026). No Polymarket data; estimated ~65% beat probability based on Chevron's historical ~70% EPS beat rate and favorable oil price environment.

Data basis for this prediction

Yahoo Finance Earnings Preview: Chevron Q2 2026 EPS-Konsens 5,79 USD, Datum 31.07.2026
Brent Crude Oil: 100,69 USD/Barrel am 25.07.2026 (Forbes Advisor / ICE-Daten)
Chevron Q2 2025 bereinigtes EPS: 1,77 USD (Chevron-Pressemitteilung, Vergleichsbasis)
Chevron historische Earnings-Beat-Rate: ca. 70 % (FactSet / Bloomberg Intelligence)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Chevron meldete am 31. Juli 2026 ein bereinigtes Non-GAAP-EPS von 6,06 USD je Aktie und übertraf damit sowohl den in der Vorhersage genannten Konsens (~5,79 USD) als auch den von Investing.com zitierten Wall-Street-Konsens (5,11 USD) deutlich. Der Earnings-Beat betrug rund +18,6 % gegenüber dem Street-Konsens. Treiber waren Rekordproduktion in den USA (+20 % YoY weltweit), Rekord-Raffinerie-Auslastung (97 %) sowie hohe Ölpreisrealiserungen. Quellen: Chevron Press Release via BusinessWire (20260731), Investing.com Earnings-Call-Transcript, Yahoo Finance 'highest profit in six years'.

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