Celsius Holdings achieves full-year 2026 net revenue above USD 3.0 billion
Pending
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 11. July 2026
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Predicted for 31. December 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Celsius grew 85.5% in 2025 to USD 2.515 billion through Alani Nu (April 2025) and Rockstar (August 2025) acquisitions. Q1 2026: USD 782.6 million; Q2 consensus: ~USD 910 million → projected H1 ≈ USD 1.69 billion. To reach USD 3.0 billion full-year, H2 must contribute ~USD 1.31 billion (avg. ~USD 655 million/quarter) — ~28% below Q2 consensus, consistent with typical Q3/Q4 seasonal softness. Full Alani Nu integration into PepsiCo's distribution and 21% US energy-drink market share support the thesis. No Polymarket/Kalshi market available.
Data basis for this prediction
- Celsius FY2025: 2.515 Mio. USD (+85,5%); Alani Nu April 2025, Rockstar August 2025 (SEC 8-K)
- Celsius Q1 2026: 782,6 Mio. USD (+138% YoY) (BusinessWire, 07.05.2026)
- Q2 2026 Konsens: ~910 Mio. USD; US-Marktanteil 21% (TipRanks/Investing.com, Juli 2026)
Verdict: Pending
This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Rémy Cointreau published its H1 FY2026/27 result on October 27, 2026: organic growth of +2.9 percent YoY for April–September 2026 — 90 basis points above this forecast's threshold. The company confirmed its FY2026/27 guidance ('gradual return to organic growth'). Q2 FY2026/27 (Jul–Sep): Cognac up 12 percent YoY. FY2025/26 full year: +0.2 percent organic ('in line with targets', Rémy IR, June 3, 2026). Achieving above 2.0 percent for the full year only requires H2 (Oct 2026–Mar 2027) to avoid a complete collapse — the 90-basis-point H1 buffer provides substantial safety margin. Risks: US demand weakness, Chinese Cognac tariffs, macro slowdown. Supporting: Rémy Martin premiumization strategy, confirmed guidance, strong Q2 momentum.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
After the record of 322 million bottles (2021), Champagne shipments are in structural decline: ~319 million in 2022, ~299 million in 2023 (CIVC). Continued luxury weakness in China (export volume –27% YoY H1 2026), rising input costs, and saturated key markets (USA, France, UK) point to further contraction. At –5 to –7% p.a. decline (2022–2025 trend), 2026 volume would be approximately 262–271 million bottles — well below the 280 million threshold. No prediction market signal available. Confirmed via CIVC annual report or Reuters by January 31, 2027.
🍾 Beverages
✦ AI
Analyst consensus for Q3 2026: EPS 0.2998 USD (~0.30 USD) with revenue of 2.49 billion USD (MarketBeat / TradingView, as of October 2026). Monster Beverage has beaten EPS consensus in a majority of recent quarters and continues to benefit from international market expansion in the energy drink segment. No active Polymarket or Kalshi market found for this event; beat probability estimated at ~65% based on historical beat rate and current consensus positioning.