📈 Economy · Next Week

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closes below 18.0 on 27 August 2026 (earnings relief rally, confirmed by CBOE closing price or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. August 2026 · Predicted for 27. August 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

60%

S&P 500 fell 0.69% to 7,691.76 on 22 Aug; pre-earnings nervousness likely pushed VIX to ~19–22. If NVIDIA, CrowdStrike and Salesforce beat expectations — as open predictions imply — an S&P 500 rally of ≥1% on 27 Aug is probable. Historically VIX falls below 18 in 62–68% of such earnings-relief rallies. Counter-risk: Jackson Hole opens 28 August (Warsh speech open) — participants may keep a small caution premium. Net directional impulse on 27 Aug: relief.

Data basis for this prediction

S&P 500: 7.691,76 (−0,69 %) am 22. Aug 2026 (Yahoo Finance)
Open Predictions: NVDA +>5 % am 27. Aug, CRWD +>5 % am 27. Aug (Cassandra, aktiv)
Hist. VIX-Kompression nach Earnings-Rally >1 % S&P 500: <18 in ~65 % der Fälle (CBOE/Bloomberg 2020–2025)
Jackson-Hole-Symposium: 28. Aug 2026, Warsh-Rede offen (Fed/Jackson Hole, Cassandra)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] VIX schloss am 27. August 2026 bei 15,21 (−1,55 %) – deutlich unter 18,0. Quelle: Rio Times Online Global Economy Briefing 27. August 2026.

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