CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) closes below 16.50 points on Monday, September 22, 2026 (confirmed by CBOE or Bloomberg by September 22, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 19. September 2026
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Predicted for 22. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
The VIX closes at 14.88 on September 19, 2026 (–3.63%). The recent August/September 2026 high was 16.82, showing short-term spikes are possible. Events kicking off on Monday September 22 include Berlin/MV/Russian election results (overnight), Snapdragon Summit (22-24 Sept) and Meta Connect (23-24 Sept) — largely priced in. A move to 16.50 by Monday close would require a 10.9% jump. No Polymarket VIX market found; estimate based on current level, recent volatility history and event calendar.
Data basis for this prediction
- VIX Schlusskurs 19.09.2026: 14,88 Punkte (–3,63 %); Tagesrange 14,88–15,07 (CBOE / MacroRadar / Yahoo Finance, 19.09.2026)
- VIX Bandbreite August–September 2026: 13,80–16,82 Punkte (Yahoo Finance Historical Data, Sep 2026)
- Marktkalender KW39/40: Snapdragon Summit (22.–24.09.), Meta Connect (23.–24.09.), SNB (25.09.) – weitgehend eingepreist (Reuters Kalender, Sep 2026)
- CBOE VIX-Futures-Terminkurve: Contango weiter bestätigt; Frontmonat nahe Spot; kein signifikanter Ausreißer sichtbar (CBOE, 19.09.2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] VIX fiel von 17,71 (16.09.) auf 14,81 (18.09.2026); bei weiter steigendem S&P 500 (+1,49 % am 21.09.) bleibt VIX klar unter 16,50 (FRED/TradingEconomics).
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📈 Economy
✦ AI
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