Carlos Alcaraz (ESP, seed 2) reaches the US Open 2026 Men's Singles Semifinal (approx. September 11, 2026, confirmed by USTA or ATP)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 4. September 2026
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Predicted for 11. September 2026
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Based on: Statistical Pattern
Polymarket prices Alcaraz at 43% to win the tournament outright, implying ~63% to reach the SF. Sinner (No. 1) and Draper both withdrew injured, opening the draw significantly. Alcaraz won R1 over Safiullin in straights and is projected to face Shelton in the QF, with Zverev on the opposite half. A potential Alcaraz SF appearance is fully consistent with the existing open prediction 'Zverev wins the tournament' (they would meet only in the final). Calibrated at 63% from the Polymarket winner market.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket US Open Men's Winner: Alcaraz 43% (Stand 3. September 2026)
- Sinner-Rückzug Knieverletzung: UPI, 21. August 2026
- Draper-Rückzug Knochenödem: Yahoo Sports, August 2026
- US Open 2026 Draw-Analyse: Bleacher Nation / TheSpread.com, 28. August 2026
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP, Nr. 2) scheiterte im Viertelfinale der US Open 2026 an Ben Shelton und erreichte das Halbfinale NICHT. Quelle: Wikipedia 2026 US Open Men's singles / Sky Sports.
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