⚽ Sports · Next Week

Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) wins the 2026 US Open Men's Singles (final c. 13 September 2026, confirmed by USTA or ATP)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 30. August 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

30%

Jannik Sinner (ITA, originally seeded #2) has withdrawn with a knee injury per ESPN/Yahoo Sports, elevating Alcaraz to clear favourite. Aggregate bookmaker odds imply ~26–30% for Alcaraz (ESPN: +250 = 26.5% raw, ~30% margin-adjusted). Sharpest rivals: Alexander Zverev (~20%), Novak Djokovic (~11%). Alcaraz is a two-time US Open champion (2022, 2023) and a dominant hard-court player; without Sinner he holds the best Flushing Meadows track record in the draw. Cassandra's platform tips Zverev, Djokovic, Auger-Aliassime and Rune to all reach the QF — but Alcaraz is the aggregate favourite.

Data basis for this prediction

ESPN: 'With Jannik Sinner out, Carlos Alcaraz favored at US Open' — Alcaraz +250 (Stand 30.08.2026)
Yahoo Sports: US Open 2026 Tennis Odds — Sabalenka, Alcaraz Top Picks (30.08.2026)
USTA: US Open 2026 Main Draw started 30 August, Final ca. 13 September 2026
Sinner-Rückzug wegen Knieverletzung (ESPN, Aug 2026)

Verdict: Miss

Alexander Zverev gewann die US Open 2026 im Herren-Einzel. Er besiegte Ben Shelton im Finale am 13. September 2026 mit 6–3, 7–6(2), 5–7, 6–2 und sicherte sich seinen zweiten Grand-Slam-Titel des Jahres (nach den French Open 2026). Alcaraz schied im Viertelfinale aus und erreichte das Finale nicht. Damit trat genau der zweitwahrscheinlichste Kandidat der Vorhersage als Sieger auf – Zverev wurde im Vorfeld mit ~20% Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit eingestuft. Quellen: CBS Sports (https://www.cbssports.com/tennis/news/us-open-2026-results-alexander-zverev-ben-shelton-mens-singles-final/), CNN (https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/13/sport/us-open-mens-final-2026), Wikipedia 2026 US Open Men's Singles (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_US_Open_%E2%80%93_Men%27s_singles).

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