📈 Economy · Next Week

Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) beats the adjusted EPS consensus of approx. $4.87 per share in its Q2 2026 earnings report (July 21, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 18. July 2026 · Predicted for 21. July 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

68%

Capital One (NYSE: COF) reports Q2 2026 results on July 21 after market close. Adjusted EPS consensus: ~$4.87 (-11.1% YoY), weighed down by elevated credit-loss rates. In July 2026, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, BofA, Wells Fargo, Citi and Morgan Stanley all beat Q2 estimates (CNBC, July 14–15, 2026) — a clear sector tailwind. COF benefits from resilient card volumes and consumer lending. Historical large-cap bank EPS beat rate: ~70–75% (FactSet). No Polymarket market for COF Q2 found. Probability 68%.

Data basis for this prediction

Capital One Q2-2026 EPS-Konsens ~4,87 USD: earningswhispers.com / MarketBeat (18.07.2026)
US-Großbanken Q2-2026 alle Beat: CNBC, 14.–15. Juli 2026
S&P-500-EPS-Beat-Rate ~74 %: FactSet Earnings Insight Q2 2026

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Capital One Financial (COF) meldete Q2 2026 bereinigtes EPS von ca. 4,42 USD – deutlich unter dem Konsens von ~4,87 USD (Verfehlung von ~0,45 USD, ca. 9 %). Aktie fiel nach Bekanntgabe. Quellen: Meyka ('Capital One Earnings Miss: Q2 2026 Results Fall Short'), TradingEconomics.

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