⚽ Sports · Next Month

Canelo Álvarez defeats Christian Mbilli in the WBC super-middleweight title defense (Riyadh, 31 October 2026, confirmed by WBC or ESPN by 1 November 2026)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 3. October 2026 · Predicted for 31. October 2026 · Based on: Statistical Pattern

Probability

73%

Canelo Álvarez (63-3-2, 39 KO) defends his WBC super-middleweight title against unbeaten Christian Mbilli (29-0-1, 24 stoppages) in Riyadh on 31 October. Robinhood prediction markets price Canelo at 71¢ (71%); Tapology community at 84%. Aggregated bookmaker odds imply ~71% for Álvarez. The 73% estimate sits marginally above the market anchor: Canelo's championship experience and proven chin favor him, while Mbilli — despite an unblemished record — is yet to face world-class opposition.

Data basis for this prediction

Robinhood Prediction Markets: Canelo 71¢ / Mbilli 29¢ (Stand 3. Okt. 2026, robinhood.com)
Tapology Community Vorhersage: Canelo 84% / Mbilli 16% (tapology.com, 3. Okt. 2026)
Buchmacherquoten aggregiert: ~71% für Álvarez, ~29% für Mbilli (Stand 3. Okt. 2026)
Kampfbilanz: Canelo Álvarez 63-3-2 (39 KO); Christian Mbilli 29-0-1 (24 Stopps)

Verdict: Hit

Canelo Álvarez besiegte Christian Mbilli am 31. Oktober 2026 in Riad durch einstimmige Punktentscheidung (115-112, 116-111, 117-110) und gewann den WBC-Super-Mittelgewichtstitel. Quellen: Bad Left Hook, Sky Sports, Yahoo Sports, Stupid Dope. Kleine Ungenauigkeit in der Vorhersage: Es war technisch keine 'Titelverteidigung', sondern eine Titelrückeroberung (Canelo hatte den Gürtel zuvor – wohl nach einer Niederlage gegen Crawford – verloren), aber das Kernergebnis 'Canelo besiegt Mbilli im WBC-Titelkampf' ist korrekt eingetreten.

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