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📈 Economy · Next Week

Brent crude oil (ICE front-month) closes above USD 100.00 per barrel on September 22, 2026

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. September 2026 · Predicted for 22. September 2026 · Based on: Ongoing Event
Probability
66%

WTI crude oil was at $99.53/barrel on September 18, 2026 (−2.34%). Brent (ICE) historically trades $3–6 above WTI, implying a current Brent price of ~$102–106. The $100 threshold lies below the estimated current Brent level. Geopolitical risks (Houthi attacks in the Red Sea, Ukraine-Russia conflict) and curtailed OPEC+ quotas support prices. No direct Polymarket market for Brent on Sept 22; estimate based on WTI-Brent spread history and current market levels. A drop of more than 3% from current WTI would be needed to push Brent below $100.

Data basis for this prediction
  • WTI Rohöl 18.09.2026: 99,53 USD/Barrel (−2,34 %) — Trading Economics
  • Brent-WTI-Spread historisch 3–6 USD (CME Group / ICE historische Daten)
  • Houthi-Angriffe Rotes Meer aktiv (UKMTO Advisories, September 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Brent Crude schloss am 22. September 2026 bei ca. 98,64–98,96 USD/Barrel (Trading Economics, Investing.com) – klar unter 100 USD. Am 21.9. lag er noch bei 100,06 USD, fiel dann um ~1,4 %.
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