Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) beats the Q2 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of approx. -$0.24 per share (28 July 2026)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 17. July 2026
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Predicted for 28. July 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Boeing reports July 28, 2026 (10:30 ET). Analyst consensus expects a -$0.24 adjusted EPS loss, representing an ~81% YoY improvement. Benzinga reported 'strong Q2 jet and defense deliveries' as an early indicator. CEO Kelly Ortberg's recovery plan (supply-chain stabilisation, 737 MAX 10 quality controls) is gaining traction. The defence division benefits from the global spending surge tied to the Hormuz crisis. Boeing has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters. No Polymarket market found; own estimate based on published delivery data.
Data basis for this prediction
- Boeing Q2-2026-EPS-Konsens: -0,24 USD (Verlust -81 % YoY) (Barchart/Yahoo Finance Preview, Juli 2026)
- Benzinga: 'Boeing Boosts Momentum With Strong Q2 Jet and Defense Deliveries' (13. Juli 2026)
- Boeing: Ergebnis-Termin 28. Juli 2026, 10:30 ET (boeing.mediaroom.com, 1. Juli 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Miss
Boeing meldete am 28. Juli 2026 einen bereinigten Verlust (Core EPS) von -0,76 USD je Aktie – deutlich schlechter als der Analysten-Konsens von ca. -0,29 USD (bzw. -0,24 USD laut Vorhersage). Das EPS wurde verfehlt, nicht übertroffen. Hauptursache war eine zusätzliche Belastung von 280 Mio. USD aus dem VC-25B-Programm (Air Force One). Der Umsatz lag mit 24,6 Mrd. USD über den Erwartungen (Beat), und der freie Cashflow war positiv (631 Mio. USD), aber die EPS-Prognose war eindeutig ein Miss. Quellen: Investing.com ('Boeing misses second quarter EPS despite revenue beat'), Yahoo Finance ('Boeing Q2 2026 earnings miss as Air Force One charge bites'), CNBC Q2-2026-Ergebnisseite.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.