📈 Economy · Next Month

Bitcoin (BTC/USD spot) closes below $70,000 per bitcoin on 31 July 2026

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 19. July 2026 · Predicted for 31. July 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

78%

Bitcoin trades at ~$64,245 on 19 July 2026. Polymarket puts only a 21% probability on BTC hitting $70,000 in July 2026 ($12.1M in trading volume on the BTC July market as of 18 July) – implying 79% for staying below the threshold. A rally to $70,000 would require ~8.9% in 12 days. CryptoBriefing notes Bitcoin missed the S&P 500 rally in Q2 2026 and has been correlating more with gold. Headwinds: inflation fears from Middle East crisis, elevated rate-hike expectations. Polymarket sieht 21 % für BTC >$70K im Juli.

Data basis for this prediction

Polymarket via gncrypto.news: 21 % für BTC >$70K in Juli 2026 – Handelsvolumen $12,1 Mio. (Stand 18.07.2026)
CryptoBriefing: 'Bitcoin aligns with gold, misses S&P 500 rally in Q2 2026' (Juli 2026)
Yahoo Finance / diverse: BTC-Kurs ~$64.245 USD (19.07.2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

Bitcoin schloss am 31. Juli 2026 deutlich unter 70.000 USD. Laut Yahoo Finance eröffnete BTC an diesem Tag bei ca. 64.724 USD und notierte um 7 Uhr ET bei ca. 63.875 USD. Der durchschnittliche Schlusskurs für den gesamten Juli 2026 lag laut StatMuse Money bei ca. 63.866 USD. Die Vorhersage trat damit klar ein – Bitcoin blieb den gesamten Monat Juli 2026 im Bereich 62.000–65.000 USD und erreichte die 70.000-USD-Marke zu keinem Zeitpunkt. Quellen: https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/investing/article/bitcoin-and-ethereum-prices-today-friday-july-31-2026-crypto-prices-back-off-this-morning-130657761.html / https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/bitcoin-price-day-by-day-july-2026

Related Predictions

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) beats Q2 FY2027 EPS consensus of approx. -$0.45 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 after close

Take-Two Interactive reports Q2 FY2027 (July–September 2026) results on November 9 after market close. Estimated analyst consensus: approx. -$0.45 EPS (heavy investment cycle around GTA VI and other AAA titles). TTWO has beaten consensus in 6 of the last 8 quarters; strong Recurrent Consumer Spending base (mobile, NBA 2K, GTA Online) consistently delivers positive surprises on cost discipline. Report date confirmed by TipRanks Earnings Calendar (as of Nov 8, 2026). Verification by TTWO Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 10, 2026, 10:00 ET.

60%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Constellation Energy (NASDAQ: CEG) beats Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus of $3.90 per share — earnings report November 9, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Constellation Energy Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Constellation Energy reports Q3-FY2026 tomorrow (November 9, 2026) before market open. TradingView and Gurufocus put the EPS consensus at $3.90/share, with revenue consensus at $9.23B. CEG has beaten estimates in 7 of the last 8 quarters — an 87.5% historical beat rate. Driver: Structurally rising nuclear power demand for AI data centers (e.g., Microsoft contracts) boosts reactor utilization and secures stable cash flows. Risk: Stock fell ~9% post-midterm results, reflecting repriced regulatory uncertainty that could overshadow near-term operational strength. Strong fundamentals and consistent beat history nevertheless support another consensus beat.

68%

Tomorrow · Predicted for 9. Nov 2026

📈 Economy ✦ AI

Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT) beats Q3-FY2027 EPS consensus of $0.64 per share — earnings report November 19, 2026 before market open (confirmed by Walmart Investor Relations or Bloomberg by November 19, 2026, 12:00 PM ET)

Walmart has beaten EPS estimates for four consecutive quarters. The official consensus is $0.64/share — identical to the top of management guidance ($0.62–$0.64). Analysts average $0.72 (range $0.70–$0.73), anticipating another structural beat. Drivers: Robust US consumer (October CPI ~3.5–3.7%; September retail sales +0.8% MoM), ongoing grocery market share gains, and strong e-commerce and advertising growth. Risk: Management lowered full-year guidance after Q2; macro headwinds from elevated prices could compress volume mixes. The consistent beat history and structural tailwinds prevail.

65%

Next Month · Predicted for 19. Nov 2026