Bank of Japan raises policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% on September 18, 2026 (confirmed by BoJ press release or Bloomberg)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 27. August 2026
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Predicted for 18. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Overnight index swaps as of August 27, 2026 price an ~85% probability of a 25bp BoJ rate move at their September meeting (Sep 17-18). BoJ Deputy Governor Himino made his clearest hint yet for near-term rate hikes today (August 27) in Saitama, stressing 'timely' action to prevent inflation. BoJ Board Member Takata already dissented in July 2026 in favor of a hike to 1.25%. Reuters sources report the BoJ is considering a more aggressive tightening pace from September. USD/JPY at 159.36 (yen near multi-year lows) increases pressure for action. Minor deviation from the OIS market anchor (85%) due to remaining uncertainty over August CPI and wage data.
Data basis for this prediction
- OIS-Marktpreise: ~85 % Wahrscheinlichkeit BoJ-Hike September (Bloomberg / Investing.com, Stand 27.8.2026)
- BoJ Deputy Governor Himino, Saitama, 27.8.2026: 'rechtzeitige' Zinserhöhung signalisiert (Japan Times / Bloomberg)
- Reuters-Quellen, 14. August 2026: BoJ erwägt September-Hike + schnelleres Straffungstempo
- BoJ aktueller Leitzins: 1,00 % (Juli-2026-Sitzung unverändert, CNBC / TradingEconomics)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] BoJ erhöhte Leitzins am 18.09.2026 um 25 bp auf 1,25 %. Quelle: Bloomberg/Reuters.
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