🏛️ Politics · Next Year

Bank of Japan (BoJ) raises its key interest rate to 1.25% by October 30, 2026 (confirmed by BoJ policy decision and press release)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 22. July 2026 · Predicted for 30. October 2026 · Based on: Speculative

Probability

70%

BoJ holds its key rate at 1.00% at the July 30/31 meeting (existing open prediction). For the rest of 2026, 71% of surveyed economists expect another hike to 1.25% by end-Q4 2026 (Yahoo Finance Singapore / CryptoBriefing, June 2026). Median forecast from 51 economists points to October as the most plausible timing. Drivers: yen depreciation to USD/JPY 163 is elevating imported inflation; Japan CPI persistently above 2% target. Bloomberg reported in June 2026 that BoJ is considering another hike in 2026. Risk: global slowdown could give BoJ pause.

Data basis for this prediction

Yahoo Finance/sg & CryptoBriefing: 71 % der Ökonomen erwarten BoJ-Hike auf 1,25 % bis Okt 2026 (Jun 2026)
Bloomberg: BoJ erwägt Junihike mit weiterer Erhöhung in 2026 möglich (04.06.2026)
Trading Economics: USD/JPY 163,19 (22.07.2026); Japan-CPI dauerhaft über 2 %-Ziel
Yahoo Finance: Medianprognose 51 Ökonomen – 1,25 % bis Q4 2026 (Jun 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] BoJ hob den Leitzins im September 2026 auf 1,25% an (bestätigt durch BoJ-Pressemitteilung); damit liegt der Leitzins bis 30. Oktober 2026 bei 1,25%. Quelle: Bloomberg ('After September Hike')

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