Bank of England keeps Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% on September 17, 2026 (confirmed by BoE press release or Reuters by September 17, 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 16. September 2026
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Predicted for 17. September 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Polymarket prices ~92–100% probability for 'No Change' at the BoE's September meeting. The MPC voted 6-3 on July 30, 2026 — three hawkish members backed an immediate hike to 4.00%, none supported a cut. With UK CPI stubbornly above the 2% target, a cut to 3.50% is off the table; the only tail risk is a surprise hike, which the MPC consensus blocks. Economist consensus (HomeOwners Alliance, Cambridge Currencies): hold for the remainder of 2026. The BoE has held at 3.75% for five consecutive meetings since cutting from 4.00% in December 2025.
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: ~92–100 % für BoE 'No Change' September 2026 (Stand 16.9.2026)
- BoE MPC-Abstimmung 30. Juli 2026: 6 Hold, 3 für Hike auf 4,00 % (financecalendar.com / Cambridge Currencies)
- Bank Rate: 3,75 % seit Dez. 2025, fünf Meetings unverändert (Cambridge Currencies, Stand 16.9.2026)
- Economist-Konsens: Hold für gesamtes H2 2026 (HomeOwners Alliance, Sep 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] BoE belässt Leitzins bei 3,75 % am 17. September 2026, bestätigt durch TradingEconomics-Echtzeitdaten.
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