📈 Economy · Next Month

Bank of England (BoE) keeps base rate unchanged at 3.75% at the MPC meeting on September 17, 2026 (confirmed by BoE press release by September 17, 2026)

Pending ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 4. September 2026 · Predicted for 17. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

78%

The Bank of England is widely expected to hold its base rate at 3.75% at the September 17 MPC meeting (12:00 London time). Around 90% of economists in Reuters' August 2026 poll forecast no change. The previous vote (6–3 for hold, with Pill, Greene and Mann voting for 4.00%) shows growing hawkish pressure but not yet a majority. UK CPI at 2.9% YoY adds mild upward pressure, below historic hike thresholds. No full Monetary Policy Report at this meeting. Market pricing places a hike to 4.00% in November as the most probable next move.

Data basis for this prediction

Bank of England MPC-Entscheidungskalender (bankofengland.co.uk, Stand 4. September 2026)
Reuters Ökonomenumfrage August 2026: ~90% erwarten Hold bei 3,75%
HomeOwners Alliance BoE Rate Prediction (September 2026)
Finance Calendar BoE Meetings 2026 (financecalendar.com)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Pending

This prediction is still open. It will be evaluated automatically against real-world sources after its due date.

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