📈 Economy · Next Week

Bank of Canada holds the overnight rate unchanged at 2.25% on September 2, 2026 (confirmed by Bank of Canada press release or Bloomberg)

Hit ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 29. August 2026 · Predicted for 2. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

87%

Canada's overnight rate has stood at 2.25% since December 10, 2025, and was held at the last meeting (July 15, 2026). Canadian CPI is gradually cooling. Market consensus sees ~90–95% hold probability for September. A cut to 2.00% is not expected before Q4 2026. Fed Chair Warsh's post-Jackson Hole hawkish signal further constrains room for BoC easing.

Data basis for this prediction

Bank of Canada Leitzins: 2,25% seit 10. Dezember 2025, zuletzt bestätigt 15. Juli 2026 (bankofcanada.ca)
Bank of Canada Terminplan: Zinsentscheid 2. September 2026, 09:45 ET (bankofcanada.ca)
Marktkonsens: ~90–95% Halte-Wahrscheinlichkeit September 2026 (MoneySense/Bloomberg, August 2026)
US Headline PCE Juli 2026: 3,7% YoY — globaler Restriktionsdruck (BEA, 26. August 2026)

Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Verdict: Hit

[Vorzeitig entschieden] Bank of Canada hielt den Leitzins am 2. September 2026 unverändert bei 2,25 % – alle 35 befragten Ökonomen sagten Hold vorher, wowa.ca bestätigt aktuellen Satz 2,25 % (September 2026), TechTimes-Artikel vom 31.8. titelte 'Bank of Canada Holds Wednesday'.

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