Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) beats Q2 FY2027 Non-GAAP EPS consensus of $3.12 with at least $3.30 per share on August 27, 2026 (confirmed by Autodesk press release or Bloomberg)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 26. August 2026
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Predicted for 27. August 2026
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Based on: Historical Cycle
Autodesk reports after market close on August 27, 2026. Zacks consensus stands at $3.12 non-GAAP EPS; company guidance is $3.10–$3.14. Over the last five quarters, Autodesk beat consensus every single time with an average positive surprise of +7.07%. A typical +7% beat on the consensus yields ~$3.34 per share, making the $3.30 threshold plausible. Polymarket currently prices a beat probability at 91.5%. The strong subscription model and AI-driven product demand (Forma, AutoCAD AI) underpin the outlook. We anchor at 80% (slightly conservative vs. Polymarket given the elevated threshold).
Data basis for this prediction
- Polymarket: 91,5 % Beat-Wahrscheinlichkeit ADSK Q2 FY2027 (Stand 26.08.2026)
- Alphastreet Preview: ADSK Q2 FY2027 EPS-Konsens 3,12 USD, Guidance 3,10–3,14 USD (26.08.2026)
- 247wallst.com: '5 Quartale in Folge Beat, Ø +7,07 % Überraschung' (25.08.2026)
- StockTitan: Autodesk Q2 FY2027 Earnings Call 27.08.2026 nach Börsenschluss
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
Autodesk meldete am 27. August 2026 nach Börsenschluss einen Non-GAAP EPS von exakt 3,30 USD – genau an der Schwelle der Vorhersage von mindestens 3,30 USD. Der Konsens von 3,12 USD wurde damit um 0,18 USD (+5,8 %) übertroffen. Quellen: Autodesk-Pressemitteilung (prnewswire.com, 27.08.2026) und Alphastreet-Ergebnisbericht (news.alphastreet.com).
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Bitcoin at $78,136 (September 9, 2026). Kalshi markets assign ~83% probability of BTC touching $100,000 at any point in 2026. Polymarket gives BTC 68% odds to close above $90,000 by year-end. A year-end close above $100,000 (not just a touch) is more demanding: median year-end contract estimates imply ~$81,000. Arguments for >$100k close: historical Q4 seasonality (+49% in Q4 2024, +56% in Q4 2023), ETF inflows, institutional demand. Headwinds: active Fed hiking cycle (~3.75% current funds rate), 10yr yield at 4.86%.