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Australia (Diamonds) wins gold in women's netball at the 2026 Commonwealth Games (final approx. August 2, 2026, Glasgow)
Probability
62%
Australia is the dominant power in Commonwealth Games netball: 12 of 18 gold medals in CG history, most recently at Birmingham 2022. England (Roses) is the strongest rival — won in 2018 in the final second. Current world rankings: Australia #1, England #2 (World Netball, May 2026). Australia's squad for Glasgow 2026 was confirmed in June and includes five players from the 2022 gold medal team. Bookmaker odds imply approx. 58–62% for Australia (aggregated, July 22, 2026). No Polymarket contract; calibrated from historical dominance and current world ranking data.
Data basis for this prediction
- World Netball Rankings Mai 2026: Australien #1, England #2 (worldnetball.sport, Mai 2026)
- CG Netball-Goldmedaillen historisch: Australien 12/18 (Commonwealth Games Federation)
- Australien CG 2026 Netball-Kader bestätigt (Netball Australia, Juni 2026)
- Buchmacherquoten aggregiert: Australien ~58–62 % für Netball Gold Glasgow 2026 (Stand 22.07.2026)
Verdict: Miss
Australien (Diamonds) gewann KEIN Gold – sie schieden im Halbfinale durch eine 45-46-Niederlage gegen Jamaika aus, was als große Überraschung galt. Australien gewann anschließend das Spiel um Bronze gegen England (80-65). Die Goldmedaille holte Neuseeland (Silver Ferns), das Jamaika im Finale 56-48 besiegte – Neuseelands erstes CG-Gold seit 2010. Quellen: ABC News Australia (abc.net.au/news/2026-08-02/diamonds-bronze-medal-commonwealth-games-england/106988168), Silver Ferns offizielle Website (silverferns.co.nz: 'Glasgow gold for NZ netball team'), Netball Australia (netball.com.au/diamonds/commonwealth-games).