AstraZeneca plc (LSE: AZN) beats the adjusted core EPS consensus of approx. USD 5.05 per share in its H1-2026 results (27 July 2026)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 20. July 2026
·
Predicted for 27. July 2026
·
Based on: Historical Cycle
AstraZeneca beat in Q1 2026 with core EPS of USD 2.58 vs. consensus USD 2.52 (+2.4%) and beat the revenue consensus at USD 15.29B (+13% YoY). Drivers: Oncology (Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Enhertu) and Rare Disease. H1 consensus is approx. USD 5.05; AZN has beaten EPS in each of the past six quarters. No Polymarket contract; calibrated from earnings-beat streak and pipeline strength.
Data basis for this prediction
- AstraZeneca Q1 2026: Core-EPS 2,58 USD vs. Konsens 2,52 USD, Umsatz 15,29 Mrd. USD +13 % YoY (businesswire.com, 29.4.2026)
- AstraZeneca H1 2026 Ergebnistermin: 27. Juli 2026 (AZN IR-Kalender)
- H1 2026 Konsens-Core-EPS ca. 5,05 USD (Yahoo Finance / TipRanks, Stand 20.7.2026)
- AstraZeneca Onkologie-Pipeline: 5 Blockbuster mit kombiniertem Wachstum >15 % YoY (Q1 2026)
Note: This is an AI-generated statistical forecast for entertainment and information purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] AstraZeneca H1 2026 (veröffentlicht 27. Juli 2026): bereinigter Core-EPS von $5.21 – übertrifft den Konsens von ~$5.05. Quelle: BusinessWire (AZN-Pressemitteilung), StockTitan, DirectorsTalkInterviews
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The S&P 500 closed at 7,636.36 on 9 September 2026. Falling below 7,450 by month-end would require a 2.4% decline. Headwinds: Fed rate hike of 25bp on 16 September (CentralBank.Watch: 59% probability), August PPI above expectations (+5.4% YoY), Iran-Gulf risk premium. Stabilizing factors: hike largely priced in (Polymarket: 93% for zero 2026 cuts), Q2 earnings solid, no recession signals. Historically, a single 25bp September hike rarely causes a monthly decline above 2.5%.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
Polymarket shows a 53% probability for a 25 basis point hike as of September 10, 2026. US Core CPI August 2026 (release September 11) is expected by market consensus to be above 3.0% YoY. The ECB raised its deposit rate by 25 bps to 2.50% on September 10, 2026 – an inflation-fighting signal that provides cover for the Fed. Against a hike: a mild slowdown in US industrial output. CME FedWatch also shows ~53% probability for a hike.
📈 Economy
✦ AI
The DAX closed at 25,562 points on September 9, 2026. A gain of +1.7% is required by month-end. Headwinds: ECB rate hike to 2.50% (September 10), 53% FOMC hike probability (September 16), persistently high oil prices (~$101/barrel Brent) weigh on energy-intensive DAX heavyweights. Tailwinds: strong SAP cloud growth expected, robust US demand, EUR/USD at 1.1644 benefits exporters. Implied 30-day volatility (VDAX): ~16%, corresponding to a σ range of roughly ±5.5% by month-end — the 26,000 level falls within the central distribution.