⚽ Sports · Next Month

Aryna Sabalenka (BLR/WTA) wins the Women's Singles at US Open 2026 (USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Final September 13, 2026)

Miss ✦ AI-generated prediction Published on 24. July 2026 · Predicted for 13. September 2026 · Based on: Historical Cycle

Probability

24%

Aryna Sabalenka is the two-time defending champion (2024, 2025) and tops the 2026 US Open entry list. Bookmaker odds imply ~24% (odds +200), making her the clear favourite. Main rivals: Iga Swiatek (+550, ~15%), Elena Rybakina (+800, ~11%), Coco Gauff (+400, ~20%), Mirra Andreeva (+800, ~11%). Sabalenka's hard court record over the last 12 months: 31–4. Tournament runs August 23 – September 13, 2026. Cassandra adopts the market anchor of 24% without adjustment – Grand Slam title retention is statistically difficult (~35% for women's defending champions), but Sabalenka is clearly dominant on this surface.

Data basis for this prediction

Buchmacherquoten US Open Damen 2026: Sabalenka +200 (~24 %), Yahoo Sports / crushrushnews.com (Juli 2026)
WTA: 'Back-to-back champion Sabalenka tops 2026 US Open entry list', wtatennis.com (2026)
Sabalenka Hard-Court-Bilanz 31:4 (letzte 12 Monate), Yahoo Sports Juli 2026
US Open 2026 Turnierdaten: 23. August – 13. September 2026, USTA (usta.com)

Verdict: Miss

Aryna Sabalenka verlor das Finale der US Open 2026 gegen Elena Rybakina mit 4-6, 7-5, 2-6. Rybakina gewann den Titel und sicherte sich damit erstmals die Weltranglistenposition Nr. 1. Sabalenka scheiterte also am Ziel der dritten aufeinanderfolgenden US-Open-Krone. Rybakina war in der Vorhersage als drittwahrscheinlichste Gegnerin (+800, ~11 %) eingestuft worden. Quellen: SI.com ("U.S. Open 2026 Women's Final: Elena Rybakina Defeats Aryna Sabalenka"), usopen.org Draw-PDF (Ergebnis 6-4, 5-7, 6-2), Wikipedia 2026 US Open – Women's singles.

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