Apple officially announces the iPhone Ultra (first foldable iPhone, foldable form factor with A20 Pro chip) at the September 2026 event (September 9, 2026, Apple Park, confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 30. August 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Apple officially announced the September 2026 event under the theme 'Surprise and Shine' for September 9, 2026 (10:00 a.m. PT, Apple Park; streaming on YouTube and Apple TV). Consistent reports from MacRumors and Digital Trends confirm that alongside iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, a foldable 'iPhone Ultra' based on the 2nm A20 Pro chip will be unveiled for the first time. The standard iPhone 18 is reportedly postponed to spring 2027. This prediction is clearly distinct from the existing 'Apple Smart Home Hub' prediction — both are separate product categories at the same event. Highly confident based on multiple independent tech media confirmations.
Data basis for this prediction
- MacRumors: 'Apple Event Announced for September 9: Surprise and Shine' (26. Aug 2026)
- Digital Trends: 'Everything we know about the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone Ultra launch event' (Aug 2026)
- Apple Event: 9. Sep 2026, 10:00 Uhr PT, Apple Park — offiziell bestätigt (Apple.com)
- A20-Pro-Chip (2 nm), iPhone Ultra Foldable und iPhone 18 Pro Max erwartet (Digital Trends, Aug 2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Apple kündigte das faltbare 'iPhone Duo' (klappbares iPhone, A20-Pro-Chip) offiziell an. Quelle: MacRumors, Engadget, CNBC
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
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✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.