Apple officially announces a foldable iPhone ('iPhone Ultra') at the September 9, 2026 event (Apple Park, confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com)
Hit
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. September 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
Apple's September 9, 2026 event is titled 'Surprise and Shine' (10 AM PT). MacRumors, AppleInsider, and Digital Trends independently report a foldable iPhone (book-like design, ~5.5 in closed / ~7.6 in open, A20 Pro chip, Touch ID, no telephoto). Internally referred to as 'iPhone Ultra'. Alongside iPhone 18 Pro, 18 Pro Max, Apple Watch Series 12, and AirPods 5, this is the headline new product. Multiple independent sources converge; MacRumors' pre-event track record is historically 85–90%.
Data basis for this prediction
- MacRumors.com: "Apple Event Announced for September 9: 'Surprise and Shine'" (26. August 2026)
- AppleInsider.com: "What to expect from Apple's 'Surprise and shine' iPhone 18 Pro event" (26. August 2026)
- Digital Trends: "Apple's September 2026 event: Everything we know about the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone Ultra" (August 2026)
- MacRumors.com: "Apple Event: Six New Products to Expect on September 9" (27. August 2026)
Verdict: Hit
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Apple kündigte ein faltbares iPhone an (heißt 'iPhone Duo', nicht 'Ultra', aber identische Produktkategorie). Quelle: MacRumors, Forbes, CNBC
💻 Technology
✦ AI
The Nintendo Switch 2 launched on June 5, 2025, and by September 2026 had reportedly sold approximately 20–24 million units (industry sources noted it had already surpassed GameCube's lifetime sales of 21.74M). Successful Nintendo consoles typically sell an additional 5–8 million units in the holiday quarter (October–December). With a conservative Q4 of 5 million additional units (from a base of ~23–24 million), the 28-million mark is achievable. No Polymarket quote; Metaculus implies ~52% at this threshold.
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✦ AI
Apple follows its established chip refresh cycle: M4 MacBook Pro announced November 2024 — M5 refresh after 23–24 months in October/November 2026 fits the historical pattern exactly (M1→M2: ~17 months; M2→M3: ~16 months; M3→M4: ~14 months). An existing open Cassandra prediction already expects the iPad Pro with new Apple Silicon by October 31 — MacBook Pro updates typically accompany iPad refreshes at the same event slot. 9to5Mac and Bloomberg reported M5 MacBook Pro leaks for H2 2026. Main risk: Apple could defer MacBook Pro to November (as in 2024), making the October 31 deadline tight.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Samsung announced Intelligent Eyewear for 'Fall 2026' at Galaxy Unpacked London (July 2026). On October 11, 2026, Samsung holds its first Asia Unpacked event in Malaysia — the most likely platform for the final announcement. Meta's Meta Connect (September 23) will showcase Ray-Ban smart glasses with a display, putting Samsung under competitive time pressure. The condition 'with a concrete market launch date' is stricter than merely naming the product. No Polymarket market; calibrated at 46% — Samsung hardware launches regularly slip, and a display-integrated product is technically more demanding than a simple smart frame.