Apple officially announces new AirPods Pro 4 with updated chip and improved active noise cancellation at the September 2026 event (September 9, Apple Park, confirmed by Apple press release or apple.com)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 1. September 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
The standard AirPods Pro 4 (without IR camera) is expected by industry analysts at the September 2026 event. MacRumors and 9to5Mac confirm a 'higher-end AirPods Pro' for 2026; the camera version is delayed to 2027 (PhoneArena/Bloomberg). AirPods Pro 2 launched October 2022; a hardware refresh with a new H-chip and improved ANC is overdue. NotebookCheck explicitly lists 'AirPods' as an expected September 2026 event product. No direct Polymarket market; calibration based on analyst consensus and Apple's ~4-year Pro refresh cycle.
Data basis for this prediction
- MacRumors: 'Higher-end AirPods Pro coming 2026' (MacRumors, 20. Januar 2026)
- PhoneArena: Kamera-AirPods auf 2027 verschoben (PhoneArena, 2026)
- NotebookCheck: Apple September Event 2026 – AirPods als erwartetes Produkt (NotebookCheck, 19. August 2026)
- 9to5Mac: 'Apple will launch 10 new products soon' inkl. AirPods-Refresh (9to5Mac, 19. August 2026)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Apple kündigte keine AirPods Pro 4 an, sondern AirPods 5 (neue Standardlinie mit erstmals integrierter ANC, H3-Chip, ab $129). AirPods Pro 4 als Produkt wurde nicht präsentiert. Quelle: TechRadar, Engadget, CNBC
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.