Apple officially announces a new iPad Pro model (at least 11-inch, M5 chip) at the September 2026 event (September 9, Apple Park)
Miss
✦ AI-generated prediction
Published on 3. September 2026
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Predicted for 9. September 2026
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Based on: Speculative
The last iPad Pro refresh was May 2024 (OLED, M4 chip). By September 2026, that's 28 months since the last update—well beyond Apple's historical 18–24-month cycle (MacRumors Buyers Guide). Apple typically refreshes multiple product lines at the fall event; iPhone 18 Pro, AirPods 5, Apple Watch Series 12, and Apple TV 4K are all already predicted for this event (existing Cassandra predictions). The M5 chip (TSMC 3 nm) is production-ready in 2026. No specific Polymarket market; own estimate from Apple cycle analysis ~42%.
Data basis for this prediction
- iPad Pro letztes Update: Mai 2024, OLED + M4 (Apple Newsroom, 7. Mai 2024)
- Apple iPad Pro Kaufzyklus: historisch 18–24 Monate (MacRumors Buyers Guide, Stand 2026)
- Apple September 2026 Event: 9. Sept., Apple Park (apple.com)
- M5-Chip Produktion: TSMC 3 nm N3P, geplant 2026 (Digitimes / AnandTech)
Verdict: Miss
[Vorzeitig entschieden] Kein neues iPad Pro beim September-2026-Event angekündigt. Das iPad Pro mit M5-Chip wurde laut Quellen bereits Ende 2025 veröffentlicht. Bestätigt durch MacRumors / Tom's Guide.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
Applied Materials has beaten the EPS consensus in all four of its last reported quarters, with an average earnings surprise of +3.5%. The company's own Q4 guidance is $3.82–$4.22 per share; consensus at $4.06 sits near the midpoint, reflecting classic conservative management framing. Revenue is estimated at $10.30B (+51% YoY) — TSMC and Samsung have not pulled back H2 2026 capex plans. No Polymarket market directly available; a 100% beat streak over 4 quarters with a positive guidance range implies 70–75% probability. Risk: supply chain delays or expanded US export controls on advanced chips could force a Q5 inventory build.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
PLTR closed at $175.40 on November 4, 2026 (after-hours: $170.88, -2.58%; intraday high: $176.54; 52-week high: $212.94). Palantir clearly beat Q3-FY2026 EPS consensus: total revenue $2.313B, US Commercial revenue +148% YoY to $984M. The $185 threshold is +5.5% above the closing price or +8.3% above after-hours levels. Typical post-earnings 'sell the news' may weigh short-term, but the 52-week high of $212.94 confirms the level is reachable. NVIDIA earnings on November 18, 2026 could serve as a sector-wide catalyst. No direct Polymarket equivalent; own estimate: ~42%.
💻 Technology
✦ AI
CBRS trades at $109.18 (October 30, 2026) — already 61% below its all-time high of $279.72. The final and largest lockup expiration is scheduled for November 10, 2026: approximately 19.4 million shares are unlocked (of three tranches of 19.4M each). Prior lockup tranches have consistently weighed on the stock. Insiders have sold ~$394.6M in shares since the May 2026 IPO — zero insider purchases. A Culper Research short-seller report has triggered multiple investigations. A close below $100 requires a ~8.4% decline — plausible given the expected supply pressure on expiration day.